- Buy rating is maintained on MindTree with a target price of Rs.780 over one year.
- MindTree has met the modest USD revenue growth expectations of the market (0.4% qoq). EPS is in line with expectations.
- Company now expects to meet NASSCOM's industry growth estimates of 11-14% for FY13.
- EBIT margin expanded 184 bps qoq and it is better than market expectations. Better EBIT margin is mainly due to improving employee mix and SG&A management.
- Management's revenue outlook could generate minor doubts, as product engineering that contributing 31% of revenue contracted 5% qoq because of the ramp down of two clients. A sharp uptick in activity is needed from 2Q to make up this and just to end flat yoy in FY13.
- The company is required to depend on continued IT services strength to meet the lower end of the NASSCOM's forecast.
- Company's margin story remains to focus on strategic clients and operational improvement.
- Attrition declined to 17% from 26% yoy. This coupled with lower cost graduate hiring would be key levers on margins.
- EPS projection for FY13 is Rs.81 and it seems that there is little risk to achieve this as the rupee remains weak.
- Two negative points seen are weak net hiring and negative operating cash flow. Operating cash flow turned negative because of high receivables.