PINC Research met the management of Biocon to discuss the prospects of various businesses.
Key Takeaways
- Mylan licensing income will continue for another 3 quarters; Incremental upside from the Mylan deal will come after the products are launched. Most of the products for the Mylan deal have patent expiries between 2014 and 2018.
- No clarity yet on Tacrolimus launch; Biocon indicated that it will be present on market formation with 5 customers currently.
- Axicorp margins at 5% are closer to the peak; Biocon has revenue visibility for 6 months for Axicorp after which there could be challenges in EU given the austerity measures being undertaken by the governments.
- Licensing income from Human Insulin is possible between now and end of FY12; Management indicated that it was too early to say anything at the moment.
- Oral Insulin partnering/out-licensing will not happen till end of CY10. Biocon will look at partnering only after the data is un-blinded which will happen towards the end of CY10. Partner for oral insulin will have to be a strong partner with proven skills to commercialise insulin.
- Sustainable 15-18% growth over the next 2 years in product sales (all segments except Axicorp and Research Services).
- Research Services IPO will happen after reaching critical size of USD100mn.
- BMS contract currently employs 300 scientists and will employ 400 scientists at the peak of the contract in Q3 FY11. The BMS accounts for >25% of sales from Research Services.
- Margins expansion will be driven by Insulin, Research Services and India formulations.
Source : Equity Bulls
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