Economy posted a remarkable recovery expected to grow at 7.2% in 2009-10 against 6.7% in 2008-09. Survey hopes the Indian GDP can be expected to grow around 8.5+/
0.25%, with a full recovery, breaching the 9% mark in 2011-12.
Manufacturing growth more than doubled to 8.9% in 2009-10 from 3.2% in 2008-09.
Survey recognizes food inflation as major concern.
Per capita income increased to 5.3% in 2009-10 from 3.7% in 2008-09.
Gross Fiscal deficit stands at 6.5% of GDP.
Liquidity condition remained comfortable during 2009-10.
Bank credit grows by 13.9% on year-on-year basis. Non-food bank credit recorded an increase of 8.7% on financial year basis till January 15, 2010 as per the latest available data.
Agricultural credit disbursal exceeds target. At sectoral level, there has been a rebound in the growth rate of investment in the agricultural sector, which grew at 16.5% and 26.0% in 2007-08 and 2008-09 respectively against 1.4% recorded in 2006-07.
Investment Deposit Ratio increases to 32.52%.
Balance of Payment situation improves due to surge in capital flows and rise in foreign exchange reserves, which have been accompanied by rupee appreciation.
Net capital flows to India at US$ 29.6 billion in April-September 2009 remained higher as compared to US$ 12.0 billion in April-September 2008.
During fiscal 2009-10, foreign exchange reserves increased by US$ 31.5 billion from US$ 252.0 billion in end March 2009 to US$ 283.5 billion in end December 2009.
Recommendations of the Thirteen Finance Commission needs to be taken on board in shaping the fiscal policy for 2010-11 and in the medium term.
Momentum in telecommunication sector continues with monthly additions exceeding 17.6 million connections.
Share of central government expenditure on social services including rural development, in total expenditure, plan and non-plan gone up to 19.46% in 2009-10 which was only 10.46% in 2003-04.
Source : Equity Bulls
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