Rollover Analysis (September 22): Highest Put base at 11000 remains crucial support in settlement week...

- Nifty rolls were near 25% vs. 3M average of 30%
- Marketwide rolls were at 32% against the 3M average of 33%
- Highest rollover was seen in IDFC First Bank, Glenmark Pharma, Havells, RBL Bank and PVR
- Rollover activity was relatively low in Jindal Steel, Adani Enterprises, Bhel, Tata Chemicals, Max Finance and Bata India

Among index stocks, Grasim (58%), JSW Steel (56%) and IndusInd Bank (52%) are witnessing high rolls into the next series while Hindustan Unilever (15%), Shree Cement (18%) and TCS (20%) are seeing relatively low rollover into the October series

Open interest in the Nifty has remained largely flat throughout the series around 11.5 million shares. The settlement week started with almost 8.2 million shares, which is at par with the last few months. During the last session, October series saw addition of 0.9 million shares while near month saw closure of almost 1.6 million shares. The roll spread has also stayed flat around 15-18 points throughout the session. However, like last series, we expect roll spread to remain around current levels in the coming sessions

The Bank Nifty has started the September series with relatively high OI while the open interest saw marginal closure in the second half due to high volatility. The continued underperformance of the banking index has triggered addition of fresh short positions. In the last session itself, October series saw addition of 0.3 million shares while near month OI remained largely unchanged. However, the roll spread in the banking index declined to just 22 points suggesting short additions

For details, click on the link below: https://www.icicidirect.com/mailimages/Rollover_Analysis.pdf

Source : Equity Bulls

Keywords