View on RBI Monetary Policy - Suvodeep Rakshit, Vice President & Senior Economist at Kotak Institutional Equities

"The RBI MPC's decision on keeping policy rates unchanged was not unexpected. The efficacy of rate cuts is anyway low in the current juncture and the past rate cuts are still feeding into the system. The MPC was cautious with adequate concerns on the evolution of inflation trajectory while being fully supportive of growth prospects as and when inflation trajectory allows. We expect the RBI to pause in the near term with possibility of rate cut (if any) visible from the December policy when inflation starts to fall. Going forward, liquidity measures will be important to watch for as the central and state governments borrow heavily under the revised borrowing plans. More importantly, the RBI allowed for resolution plan under the June 7, 2019 notification of Prudential Framework for Resolution of Stressed Assets along with a separate framework for personal loans too. This will help in alleviating some of the stress that is likely to emerge as well as address some of the most affected sectors. The provisioning norms along with rule-based and time-bound resolution plan will likely ensure that banks are prudent in utilizing this window and addresses genuine stressed cases."

Source : Equity Bulls

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