Dr. Lal PathLabs Limited (DLPL) offers diagnostic and related healthcare tests and services in India and internationally. Company had 200 clinical laboratories and 2,569 patient service centers (PSC) and 6,426 pick-up points (PUP) as of March 2019.
- DLPL is one of the leading players in pathology diagnostic market in India, supported by its well positioned "hub and spoke" business model.
- North India business contributed ~71% of revenue in FY19. However, company plans to increase its presence in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Bengaluru and Pune.
- Revenue grew at a 16.2% CAGR (FY15-19), helped by strategic business model and wide network. Factoring in Corona impact for 4QFY20 and early FY21, we estimate revenue to grow at a 14.0% CAGR FY20-22E.
- EBITDA margin remained in the range of 24%-26% over FY15-19. Given the fixed costs of 48-50%, we expect EBITDA margin to remain under pressure for FY21E (24.5%) and expand in FY22E (25.8%).
- Company has solid Balance Sheet, with no debt and cash & cash equivalent of Rs. 775cr as on 31st December 2019.
- We initiate the coverage with a BUY rating on the stock and a target price of Rs. 1,762 based on 46x FY22E adj. EPS.