- We expect revenue to be lower by 2.5% YoY on the back of muted sales volumes of ~117 MT, down by ~3% YoY. Blended realizations are expected to move up by 2.2% QoQ driven by better coal mix (H1 realizations were muted despite price hikes due to low quality inventory sales). CIL achieved lower than targeted volumes in Oct-Nov due to extended monsoons and cyclone Phiallin hitting production.
- EBITDA is expected to be lower by ~6% YoY at ~Rs40.1bn on account of lower volumes. Margin is expected at ~23.8%, down 98bps YoY.
- PAT is expected to be at Rs38.1bn, down by ~13% YoY.