Reco: ACCUMULATE
CMP: Rs 199
Target Price: Rs 250
- MCL to set up a 1mtpa grinding unit at Vizag (slated for commissioning in Q2FY14). The unit to help expand reach in Vizag and Odisha markets, apart from helping freight cost reduction
- FY13 debt reduction of just Rs0.5bn: higher working capital (Rs2.5bn) and higher capex restrict debt repayment. Interest cost higher by 100bps, led by the rollover of low-cost debt
- Cut FY14E/15E EPS by 10%/7%, led by lower cement realizations and high currency assumptions (increases MCL's imported fuel cost). Reset the target price to Rs250
- MCL remains the preferred mid-cap pick. Low cost structure, robust FCF and minimal capex plans to drive accelerated debt repayment, helping stock re-rating. ACCUMILATE.