Reco: BUY
CMP: Rs 237
Target Price: Rs 280
- RBI notification on gold import, i) increase cash margin to 100% for gold imports and abolishing credit for gold import including gold on lease – changes Titan's financial model
- Impact the following – i. some risk on gold exposure, ii. Reduction in payable days as gold-on-lease ceases and iii. Lower other income & debt addition on books
- Earnings impact of -9% each for FY14E/FY15E. Impact of cash flow to be transitional, expect FCF to be positive in FY15E. Return ratios to drop by 4-5% in FY14/15E
- Regulatory concerns seem over. Maintain revenue growth and BUY rating with PT of Rs 280/share. Expansion plan review & RBI targeting savings scheme – the only caveats.