- KSK at an inflection point of earnings growth which would start from 1Q14 driven by - 1) Wardha fuel cost, 2) normalized PLF in VS lignite, 3) normalized operations in Arasmeta II & 4) Mahanadi commissioning
- Expect EPS CAGR of 45% in FY13-15E & yet to factor 1) Wardha coal quality improvement, 2) lower interest, 3) tapering coal linkage till Morga II becomes operational and 4) 1GW UP bid Rs5.4/unit
- KSK recently received stage-II forest clearance for prospecting of Morga-II coal block
- Given EPS upgrade cycle 1Q14 onwards, stock attractive at 5.9x15E EPS & 0.5x15E book. Maintain Buy with a PT of Rs82/sh.