- While domestic business growth is expected to remain moderate YoY, helped by international operations, overall loan and deposit growth are expected to be ~15% and ~14% respectively.
- NIMs are expected to moderate and blended NIMs to be ~2.6%.
- Fee income growth is expected to be less than 5%. However, overall non-interest income to grow 16%+ led by higher income from profit on sale of investments.
- Pressure on asset quality is likely to continue and slippages to remain at a high level. In 3QFY13, gross slippages stood at INR20b (3.1% annualized slippage ratio) and net addition to restructured loans was INR9.2b (30bp of overall loans).
- Hence, credit cost is expected to remain at a high level and we factor a credit cost of ~95bp.
- The stock trades at 0.8x FY14E and 0.7x FY15E BV, and 5.7x FY14E and 4.8x FY15E EPS. Maintain Neutral.