Reco: BUY
CMP: Rs 315
Target Price: Rs 397
- Risk reward ratio entering a favorable quadrant for BPCL
- We see high probability of positive news flows emerging from further drilling by Anadarko in the Mozambique block
- Valuation: We value BPCL on an SOTP basis at Rs.397/sh. E&P assets at Rs 100/sh which accounts for 25% of the value and other investments contribute 21.6% or Rs 86/sh. BPCL's core refining and marketing business is valued at ~Rs 211/sh on 1x FY14E BV. At CMP stock trades at 1.2x FY14 P/BV and post the correction CMP provides attractive level to enter in the stock with favorable risk reward. Hence we change our recommendation from Accumulate to BUY with TP of Rs.397.