Relaxo Footwear (Relaxo) reported lower than expected numbers for 2QFY2013. The revenue for the quarter stood at Rs.242cr marginally lower than our expectation of Rs.248cr, while it grew by 21.6% yoy from Rs.199cr in 2QFY2012. The EBITDA margin witnessed an expansion of 204bp yoy to 9.9% during the quarter; however, it was lower than our expectation of 12.5%. Subsequently, the profit for the quarter grew by 139.4% yoy (on a lower base of Rs.4cr for 2QFY2012) at Rs.10cr, which was 32.9% lower than our estimate of Rs.15cr.
Expansion plans and brand revamp to drive volume: The company is in an expansion mode and plans to incur a capex of Rs.60cr for building up a PU (Polyurethane) footwear plant (expected to get completed by FY2013) and Rs.25cr for building a warehouse (to be completed by FY2014E). In addition, the company plans to open 25-30 retail stores each year. It has also roped in leading celebrities for endorsement of its brands - Salman Khan for Hawaii, Katrina Kaif for Flite and Akshay Kumar for Sparx. We expect capacity expansion and aggressive marketing to complement each other and drive volume.
Outlook and valuation: We expect Relaxo to post a revenue CAGR of 18.5% over FY2012-14E to Rs.1,208cr with an operating margin of 12.5% in FY2014E. The PAT is expected to grow at a CAGR of 41.6% to Rs.80cr for the same period. At the current market price, Relaxo is trading at 12.0x FY2014E earnings. We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a revised target price of Rs.933, based on a target PE of 14x for FY2014E.