- Maruti's Q2FY13 earnings were encouraging, led by positive surprise on both top-line and margins.
- The improved macro outlook, normalisation of operations and steady commodity and FX trends should help the company sustain a high pace of earnings growth.
- Considering the macro outlook is much improved and some of Maruti's newly launched products have enjoyed encouraging consumer response, the company is expected to outpace industry growth in FY14.
- Scale, improved mix and steady commodity cost should also support margin improvement of 70 bps over FY13-15e.
- Improved outlook and attractive valuations (trading at a 25% discount to peers) are expected to drive the share price.
- FY13-15 earnings estimates have been increased by 5-11%, implying operating earnings CAGR of 24%.
- Maintain Buy on Maruti with a higher target price of Rs.1575 (vs. INR1390 earlier)
- Key risks to Target Price: major negative changes in legislation and consumer confidence.