- It seems that the company's dispatch target of 470 million ton for FY13 is challenging due to rake shortages and despite the ramp –up of brown field projects.
- Margins also are expected to fall as e-auction volumes and ASP (average sales price) decline.
- After the steep rise in stock price since May, the market value of the stock appears stretched.
- Disappointments on dispatches / ASP would lead to underperformance.
- Upside risks to the target price are positive volume/price surprises or upturn in SEB finances.