Buy SAIL – TP Rs.109
- SAIL has been upgraded to 'buy' with a target price of Rs.109 over one year. The stock is being traded at a price range of Rs.94.
- It seems that current skepticism on the stock is undue. It is expected that earnings would rebound in FY13 -14 with the start-up of three projects and better coke availability.
- Three projects – IISCO, Rourkela and Bokaro are expected to be commissioned by end FY13.
- Restart of two coke ovens at Bokaro and upturn in external supply would address coke availability issues.
- Price outlook for longs has improved and this may also help the rebound.
- The stock is currently traded at 8.5 P/E of FY13 expected earnings and at 7.5 P/E of expected earnings for FY14. This implies that the valuation is not expensive.
- Upgraded to 'buy' with a target price of Rs.109 over one year. Further delays in projects, sharp fall in iron ore price and continuation of coke availability issues are major risks to the target price.